Betting signals you can actually audit, not just promises
dota2llm watches live Dota 2 maps and sends a Telegram message only when a statistical model — not a hunch, not an LLM — finds a real edge against the bookmaker's own price. Every number below is the model's actual, ongoing track record, pulled live from the same program that generates the signals.
The 19-minute checkpoint's real track record
The model re-evaluates a map at several points after the draft. These are the two checkpoints with the deepest, most reliable sample sizes — switch between them to see each one's own real track record, polled live from the same backend that sends the real Telegram signals right now.
Most recent finished maps
The model's pick is highlighted. Updates automatically as maps finish.
| Matchup | Prob. | Result | League | Finished |
|---|
Three steps, no guesswork
Join the Telegram channel
One link, no app to install. Signals arrive as plain Telegram messages the moment the model decides.
Get a signal mid-map
Every pick draws on more than 4,500 tracked maps worth of data.
Decide for yourself
Every message includes the model's own probability, built from the combined analysis of 4 local models, and the price it saw. dota2llm never places a real bet for you — it's information, not an autopilot.
Built for people who already bet on Dota — not instead of you
Get the signal
A Telegram message names the team and the live price the model saw at that checkpoint.
Check your own bookmaker
Open the site you already bet on and see if that price — or close to it — is still there. Live odds move fast.
Place the bet yourself
dota2llm never touches your money. You pick the stake and place the bet, on your own bookmaker.
Keep the stream open
A signal is a strong statistical lean, not a guarantee. Always watch the game yourself — especially around Aegis, a big teamfight, or a throw in progress.
dota2llm is built for people who already bet on Dota 2 — it helps you lean toward the right team faster, backed by real data instead of a hunch. It's not a crystal ball: always watch the broadcast and make the final call yourself.
When the model is right, it tends to stay right
Real, ongoing streak data from the same 19-minute checkpoint tracked above.
Common questions
Is dota2llm an automatic betting bot?
No. dota2llm is an analytical tool: it sends probability-based signals and explanations on Telegram. You decide whether and how to act on them. It never places real bets for you.
What does NO_BET mean?
NO_BET is a deliberate, first-class outcome, not a failure of the model. It shows up most often for a team with only a handful of games in its history — too little track record yet for the model to be confident — rather than the model guessing anyway.
What powers the predictions?
A set of statistical models, one for each stage of a map, trained and validated on thousands of tracked games. The exact methodology isn't published, but every prediction it produces is shown here with its real, ongoing track record.
What is the 19-minute checkpoint?
One of the model's live re-evaluation points during a Dota 2 map — the moment it has enough real game data (net worth, kills, tower state) to re-check its read on who's ahead. The 19- and 28-minute checkpoints have the deepest sample sizes, which is why their live track record is shown on this page.
How much does access to the signals cost?
$25/month, with the first day free for new users and no long-term commitment. The live track record above is free to check at any time — you only pay if you decide the model's edge is worth following.
Ready to see the signals as they happen?
Access to the signals bot is $25/month.
New users get the first day free. No long-term commitment, no hidden fees.
Open the Telegram bot →